On March 11, 2026, the weather in Srinagar, Kashmir, took a notable turn as the region experienced fresh snowfall in its higher reaches, while several plains saw light to moderate rain. This shift in weather conditions comes after a prolonged period of below-average precipitation during the winter months.

In the 24 hours leading up to 8:30 am on March 11, Kupwara received approximately 6.4 mm of rain, while Gulmarg recorded 2.8 mm. Srinagar itself registered around 1.2 mm of precipitation. These figures indicate a welcome change for the region, which has faced a significant precipitation deficit over the winter season.

Temperature Trends

Alongside the rainfall, temperatures in Srinagar have also shown notable variations. The maximum temperature reached 17.6 degrees Celsius, which is about 2.9 degrees above the normal for this time of year. The minimum temperature settled at 10.5 degrees Celsius, approximately 7.2 degrees higher than the seasonal average. This rise in temperature is indicative of the erratic weather patterns currently affecting the region.

In contrast, Gulmarg recorded the lowest minimum temperature in the Kashmir division at 2.4 degrees Celsius. Meanwhile, Jammu city experienced a maximum temperature of 31.2 degrees Celsius, nearly 5.8 degrees above normal, highlighting the diverse climatic conditions across the region.

Precipitation Deficits and Future Predictions

The winter of 2025-2026 has been particularly challenging for Kashmir, ending with a 65 percent precipitation deficit. This marks the seventh consecutive winter season in which the region has recorded below-average rainfall, raising concerns about water availability and agricultural impacts.

On March 10, 2026, Srinagar and several other parts of Jammu and Kashmir were lashed by overnight rains. The meteorological department has predicted that this pattern of precipitation will continue over the next few days.

As of now, the region is experiencing generally cloudy weather, with light rain and snowfall expected in the higher reaches of Kashmir. The Meteorological Centre Srinagar noted, “The region is likely to witness generally cloudy conditions with light to moderate rain in the plains and snowfall over higher reaches at many places.” This forecast is particularly relevant for areas such as Sonamarg-Zojila axis, Sinthan top, Sadhna top, Razdan top, and Peer ki Gali, where moderate to heavy snowfall is anticipated.

From March 10 to 11, the weather is expected to remain cloudy, with light to moderate rain in the plains and snowfall in the higher altitudes. Heavy rain is likely over the plains of Kupwara, Baramulla, and Bandipora districts, which may impact daily life and agricultural activities.

Farmers have been advised to suspend farm operations between March 10 and 12 due to the adverse weather conditions. This advisory is crucial as the region’s agriculture is sensitive to weather fluctuations.

Additionally, the meteorological department has issued a warning about temporary traffic disruptions over higher reaches and important mountain passes due to expected snowfall. Thunder and gusty winds, with speeds of 30 to 40 kmph, are also possible at various locations between March 9 and 11.

Looking ahead, the weather conditions are expected to improve from March 12 to 15, with generally dry weather and occasional cloudiness predicted. However, day temperatures are forecasted to drop by four to six degrees Celsius at many places after March 9, with the minimum temperature in Srinagar recorded at 3.3 degrees Celsius.

This sequence of weather events is significant for residents and farmers in the region, as it directly affects agricultural productivity and daily life. The advisories from the meteorological department aim to prepare the public for the potential impacts of these weather changes.

As the situation develops, residents are encouraged to stay informed through official channels for updates on weather conditions and any necessary precautions.

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