Starting from the evening of April 27, isolated dust storms and light rainfall could begin. Furthermore, widespread dust storms and thunderstorms are likely between April 28 and April 30 across several northern states including Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi. Wind speeds are projected to reach 30–40 kmph on April 28, increasing to 40–50 kmph by April 29.

Officials anticipate a temperature drop of around 3–5 degrees Celsius, with readings expected to dip below the critical mark of 42°C starting April 29. This shift comes as a welcome change for millions enduring the oppressive heat. The IMD described the approaching disturbances as the ‘only ray of hope’ in easing this heatwave.

Thunderstorm activity is likely to persist until at least May 2, bringing not just rain but also localized disruptions due to strong winds and lightning. Dust storms are expected to precede or accompany this rainfall activity, adding to the dramatic weather shift. The current sequence of disturbances is relatively rare during such an intense heat phase.

While many regions will experience relief, parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh may initially see dry weather before the rain-bearing systems arrive. Observers have noted that such back-to-back western disturbances during a heatwave are uncommon, raising interest among meteorologists.

The IMD’s warnings highlight potential hazards associated with strong winds and thunderstorms, urging residents to stay vigilant. As these weather patterns unfold, communities are preparing for both the benefits of cooling rains and the challenges posed by possible severe weather.

As anticipation builds for this significant weather change, officials continue to monitor developments closely. The arrival of these rain-bearing systems could finally bring respite to those battling extreme temperatures across north India.

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On March 11, 2026, the weather in Srinagar, Kashmir, took a notable turn as the region experienced fresh snowfall in its higher reaches, while several plains saw light to moderate rain. This shift in weather conditions comes after a prolonged period of below-average precipitation during the winter months.

In the 24 hours leading up to 8:30 am on March 11, Kupwara received approximately 6.4 mm of rain, while Gulmarg recorded 2.8 mm. Srinagar itself registered around 1.2 mm of precipitation. These figures indicate a welcome change for the region, which has faced a significant precipitation deficit over the winter season.

Temperature Trends

Alongside the rainfall, temperatures in Srinagar have also shown notable variations. The maximum temperature reached 17.6 degrees Celsius, which is about 2.9 degrees above the normal for this time of year. The minimum temperature settled at 10.5 degrees Celsius, approximately 7.2 degrees higher than the seasonal average. This rise in temperature is indicative of the erratic weather patterns currently affecting the region.

In contrast, Gulmarg recorded the lowest minimum temperature in the Kashmir division at 2.4 degrees Celsius. Meanwhile, Jammu city experienced a maximum temperature of 31.2 degrees Celsius, nearly 5.8 degrees above normal, highlighting the diverse climatic conditions across the region.

Precipitation Deficits and Future Predictions

The winter of 2025-2026 has been particularly challenging for Kashmir, ending with a 65 percent precipitation deficit. This marks the seventh consecutive winter season in which the region has recorded below-average rainfall, raising concerns about water availability and agricultural impacts.

On March 10, 2026, overnight rains lashed Srinagar and several other parts of Jammu and Kashmir, setting the stage for a series of weather developments in the region. The Meteorological Centre Srinagar reported that the region is likely to witness generally cloudy conditions with light to moderate rain in the plains and snowfall over higher reaches at many places.

As the day progressed, the meteorological department predicted more precipitation over the next few days. From March 10 to 11, generally cloudy conditions with light to moderate rain in the plains and snowfall over higher reaches are expected. Heavy rain is likely over the plains of Kupwara, Baramulla, and Bandipora districts.

In addition to the rain, moderate to heavy snowfall is possible over higher reaches including the Sonamarg-Zojila axis, Sinthan top, Sadhna top, Razdan top, and Peer ki Gali. The minimum temperature in Srinagar was recorded at 3.3 degrees Celsius, and day temperatures are expected to fall by four to six degrees Celsius at many places after March 9.

Farmers have been advised to suspend farm operations between March 10 and 12 due to the adverse weather conditions. The department has also issued an advisory warning of temporary traffic disruption over higher reaches and important mountain passes due to snowfall.

Thunder and gusty winds with speeds of 30–40 kmph are possible at a few places between March 9 and 11, adding to the challenging weather conditions in the region. Weather conditions are expected to improve from March 12 to 15, with generally dry weather and occasional cloudiness anticipated.

As of now, the situation remains dynamic, with residents and authorities closely monitoring the weather updates. The impact of these weather changes is significant for farmers and travelers in the region, highlighting the importance of timely advisories and preparedness for adverse conditions.

Details remain unconfirmed regarding the extent of the rainfall and snowfall in specific areas, but the forecasts indicate a need for caution and readiness among the local population.

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