The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to dash Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan’s hopes of securing a third consecutive term in Kerala. Exit polls indicate that the UDF could secure between 70 and 75 seats in the upcoming Assembly elections, signaling a potential shift in the state’s political landscape.
According to various exit polls, the Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to secure between 60 and 65 seats. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to win only 3 to 5 seats. With a total of 140 Assembly seats in Kerala, the majority mark stands at 71.
The voter turnout for these elections reached an impressive 78.27%, reflecting strong public engagement. This election follows a historic verdict in 2021 when the LDF broke Kerala’s long-standing pattern of alternating governments every five years.
Polls suggest that the UDF is engaged in a neck-and-neck contest with the LDF, making this election particularly crucial for both parties. The UDF is actively seeking to replace the current LDF government, which has held power since its victory in 2016.
Yet, analysts caution that exit polls are merely predictions based on surveys and can turn out to be wrong on result day, which is set for May 4. As such, while optimism runs high for UDF supporters, uncertainty remains regarding the final outcome.